Iran has declared its intention to retaliate with significant and prolonged attacks on U.S. positions if the United States resumes military strikes. The country has also reaffirmed its authority over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, causing complications for U.S. efforts to form a coalition to reopen the vital waterway.
Since the onset of the conflict triggered by U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the critical passage of Hormuz has remained shut, resulting in a blockage of approximately 20% of global oil and gas supplies, as well as one-third of the world’s fertilizer resources that typically traverse the area. This closure has led to a surge in global energy prices, raising concerns about the potential economic repercussions.
Despite a ceasefire in place since April 8, Iran continues to block the strait, prompting the U.S. to impose a naval blockade on Iran’s oil exports, a crucial revenue stream for Tehran. U.S. President Donald Trump is set to receive a briefing on plans for fresh military actions against Iran to compel negotiations to end the conflict.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has conveyed a strong message to Iranians, vowing to prevent “enemies’ abuses of the waterway” and maintain control over the strait. Khamenei emphasized that foreign intervention in the region is unwelcome, asserting that the future prosperity of the Persian Gulf does not involve the presence of foreign powers.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres has cautioned that a prolonged disruption in the strait could lead to global economic downturn, increased inflation, and severe poverty and hunger for millions. The U.S. faces a deadline to end the conflict or seek congressional approval for its extension under the War Powers Resolution, with indications suggesting that the conflict may persist despite efforts for resolution.
Efforts to form an international coalition to reopen the strait are underway, with France, Britain, and other nations discussing contributions once hostilities cease. Canada has expressed willingness to provide support post-ceasefire, including cyber and logistical assistance. Despite ongoing diplomatic engagements, challenges remain in finding a resolution to the conflict and reopening the critical waterway.